<p>As the world’s
human population increases, transformation of natural landscapes into urban
habitats continues to increase. In Africa, rates of human population growth and
urbanisation are among the highest in the world, but the impacts of these
processes on the continent’s biodiversity remain largely unexplored. Furthermore,
the effects of ongoing anthropogenic climate change are likely to be severe and
to interact with urbanisation.</p>
<p>Some organisms appear resilient to
urbanisation, and even proliferate in human-modified environments. One such
species is the peregrine falcon <i>Falco peregrinus</i> in Cape Town, South
Africa. Using a long-term data set (1989-2014), we investigate the relationship
between breeding attempts, timing of breeding and breeding performance under
varying weather conditions. Exploring these issues along an urbanisation
gradient, we focus on the role of artificially provided nest boxes, and their
capacity to buffer against extreme weather events.</p>
<p>Pairs in more urbanised areas, and particularly those in nest boxes,
were more likely to breed and to commence breeding earlier. Additionally, pairs
using nest boxes were more likely to breed in years with higher rainfall. Warm
and dry weather conditions generally advanced the timing of breeding, although this
relationship with weather was not seen for urban pairs using nest boxes.
Furthermore, weather did not impact breeding performance directly (breeding
success and fledged brood size), but timing of breeding did, with earlier
breeders producing more fledglings. </p>
Our
study shows that falcons breeding in specially provided nest boxes were less
sensitive to local weather dynamics than pairs using more natural nest sites.
This has important implications as it suggests that the managed provision of
such nesting sites can help this key urban species to cope with extreme weather
events, which are predicted to increase with climate change.