The study is a technical analysis of the potential risks and
uncertainties of South Africa’s proposed commitment to 9.6 GW of nuclear
power. The objective of the study is to review this commitment in
comparison to a more flexible planning approach that aims to minimise
costs. It includes three main tiers of analysis: the first builds two
alternative futures, so that we can understand the implications of
different investment strategies in uncertain future worlds; the second
models the socioeconomic impacts of the commitment to nuclear power
versus a flexible planning approach in each of these futures (i.e.
committed nuclear versus least-cost investment plans in different
futures); the third estimates the risks of an increase in the
electricity price to the South African economy and consumers.