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Fisheries_2013_NOV_SWG_PEL_36.pdf (129.5 kB)

Penguin model projections: 20 years, autocorrelation, and immigration

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posted on 2023-07-04, 10:44 authored by William Robinson

Projection results requested for Robben Island penguins are presented under three variations of the base case projection assumptions. These are: extending the projections to cover a 20-year period; including auto-correlation in the residuals about the penguin mortality-sardine biomass relationship; and including immigration in the first 11 years of the projections (which start from 2012) at the same level as estimated to have taken place between 1989 and 1999.

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Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Cape Town

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