University of Cape Town
FISHERIES_2021_MAR_SWG-PEL_12_Proposed framework for scientif advice.pdf (298.03 kB)

A proposed structured framework for providing scientific advice on possible responses to the decline in the numbers of African penguins

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posted on 2021-05-25, 15:26 authored by Doug ButterworthDoug Butterworth
Legislation alone provides insufficient operational guidance to yield an unambiguous outcome for scientific advice on a management response to the current decline in penguin abundance. Decisions will require trade-off choices to be made by decision makers, who will need soundly-based scientific information, provided in a format that is well structured and readily comprehensible, to assist in making those decisions. A Risk Analysis approach is proposed for this, whereby the consequences of combinations of alternative hypotheses for the penguin decline and possible management responses are compared within a matrix framework. The responsibilities of scientists in providing the information for inclusion in such a matrix are set out.



Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Cape Town