Considering the variability in directed sardine catches for the current OMP‐18 reference case HCR

The variability in simulated future sardine catches is compared between the reference case and alternative Harvest Control Rules to inform OMP‐18 development. This document considers further variations from the ‘reference case’ directed sardine Harvest Control Rule (HCR) as defined by de Moor (2018), with particular focus on the variability in simulated sardine catches. Anchovy catches are modelled according to the HCR from OMP‐14 with the baseline Operating Model (OM) (de Moor 2018). Unless otherwise specified, sardine results are obtained using the baseline OM of p = 0.08 and MoveR (de Moor 2018).