Application of the OMP indicates a 5% increase in the hake TAC for 2024 to 145 698t. However, a concern arises since of the eight most recent abundance indices, two are below the 90% predicted PI intervals and a third only marginally above this. It is suggested that these occurrences are not sufficient to warrant a declaration of Exceptional Circumstances and a possible reduction in the TAC recommendation, but that this situation be kept under review during the coming year as more data become available.
History
Department/Unit
Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Cape Town