University of Cape Town
FISHERIES_2022_AUG_SWG-DEM_13 Hake projections under a selection of CMPs_final.pdf (1.77 MB)

Projection results for a selection of Candidate Management Procedures

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posted on 2022-10-13, 10:20 authored by Andrea Ross-GillespieAndrea Ross-Gillespie, Doug ButterworthDoug Butterworth

Projection results for seven CMPs are provided. The central choice of these CMPs assumes an increase of 40% in the OMP b parameters, and 5% alternatives to either side of this are also tested. One CMP removes the TAC cap, but otherwise all CMPs have been run for a 150 000t and 160 000t cap. Two further CMPs fix the lower limit for the 2023 and 2024 TACs. All CMPs, apart from the one removing the cap, result in similar biomass depletion statistics. If the estimated risk is considered acceptable by the DWG, then the recommendation for OMP-2022 will likely be made based on catch and effort considerations; however, further CMPs may still be investigated, and robustness tests still need to be conducted.



Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Cape Town