Hake projections with missing surveys under OMP2022

<p dir="ltr">The Hake RC OM is projected forward under the rules of OMP2022 for various assumptions regarding future surveys. The main impact of no future surveys is to reduce the range of predicted TACs over the next four years, but also to lower the expected TAC. Modelling an undetected catchability increase results in slightly higher TACs and lower biomasses, the latter being a concern at the lower 5th percentile of the projections only. However, the scenarios modelling an undetected catchability increase estimates a gradual decrease in the M. paradoxus population over time, highlighting the importance of the survey indices as a safeguard against such an occurrence. Overall, the current OMP appears to be able to deal with the different assumptions regarding future surveys that have been made here, at the cost of some TAC reductions and slightly lower population levels in some cases.</p>