Simple round-herring projections for November 2024 and implications of not conducting a November 2024 biomass survey.

Financial constraints currently preclude an end of the year hydro acoustic biomass survey. A simple population dynamics model is used to predict the November 2024 survey estimate of round herring biomass. This estimate is reduced by 15 and 30% to account for uncertainty, and the resultant biomass estimates are evaluated against the existing round herring HCR. Considering these estimates as well as the average biomass estimates over recent years, it is unlikely that the PUCL of round herring would be expected to be reduced from the maximum of 120 000t.