University of Cape Town
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Mark New

Director / Research Chair

Cape Town

Mark New is Director of the African Climate and Development Initiative at the University of Cape Town, and AXA Research Chair in African Climate Risk. He also has a joint appointment as Professor for International Development at the University of East Anglia, UK. As Director of ACDI he is responsible for fostering interdisciplinary research and teaching on climate and development problems at UCT, and in partnership with other organisations in Africa and globally. His research has spanned climate change detection, attribution, impacts and adaptation. His recent research has focused quantifying the changing risks of damaging climate events in southern Africa, and on understanding barriers and enablers to effective climate adaptation responses. Mark is a coordinating lead author on the 6th Assessment Report of the IPCC, responsible for Chapter 17 of Working Group II, Decision Making Options for Managing Risk.

Publications

  • Interannual to Interdecadal variability of winter and summer southern African rainfall, and their teleconnections.
  • The impact of roads on sub-Saharan African ecosystems: a systematic review
  • Storm-triggered landslides in the Peruvian Andes and implications for topography, carbon cycles, and biodiversity
  • The hydrological regime of a forested tropical Andean catchment
  • What Drives Farmers to Make Top-Down or Bottom-Up Adaptation to Climate Change and Fluctuations? A Comparative Study on 3 Cases of Apple Farming in Japan and South Africa
  • Challenges in Quantifying Changes in the Global Water Cycle
  • Climate change impacts and adaptation in South Africa
  • Does a rainfall-based drought index simulate hydrological droughts?
  • Observed and modelled trends in rainfall and temperature for South Africa: 1960-2010
  • Synchronous fire activity in the tropical high Andes: an indication of regional climate forcing
  • The hydrological regime of a forested tropical Andean valley
  • Sensitivity of systematic biases in South Asian summer monsoon simulations to regional climate model domain size and implications for downscaled regional process studies
  • The impact of ENSO on Southern African rainfall in CMIP5 ocean atmosphere coupled climate models
  • Forging future organizational leaders for sustainability science
  • Understanding the current state of collaboration in the production and dissemination of adaptation knowledge in Namibia
  • Southern African summer-rainfall variability, and its teleconnections, on interannual to interdecadal timescales in CMIP5 models
  • Preparing interdisciplinary leadership for a sustainable future
  • A reflection on collaborative adaptation research in Africa and Asia
  • Evaluation of the added value of a high-resolution regional climate model simulation of the South Asian summer monsoon climatology
  • Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering could lower future risk of ‘Day Zero’ level droughts in Cape Town
  • Climate change and loss, as if people mattered: values, places, and experiences
  • The Effect of Inter-Organisational Collaboration Networks on Climate Knowledge Flows and Communication to Pastoralists in Kenya
  • Assessing protected area effectiveness within the Caribbean under changing climate conditions: A case study of the small island, Trinidad
  • Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015-2017
  • Large‐Scale Transdisciplinary Collaboration for Adaptation Research: Challenges and Insights
  • Perceptions of ecosystem services provision performance in the face of climate change among communities in Bobirwa sub-district, Botswana
  • Priority focus areas for a sub-national response to climate change and health: A South African provincial case study
  • Spatial inequality in water access and water use in South Africa
  • Temperature and precipitation extremes under current, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming above pre-industrial levels over Botswana, and implications for climate change vulnerability
  • Water for sustainable development in the Berg Water Management Area, South Africa
  • Added value of a high-resolution regional climate model in simulation of intraseasonal variability of the South Asian summer monsoon
  • Contributions of decadal climate information in agriculture and food systems in east and southern Africa
  • Erosion of organic carbon from the Andes and its effects on ecosystem carbon dioxide balance
  • Spatial variability in sustainable development trajectories in South Africa: provincial level safe and just operating spaces
  • Anticipatory adaptation and the role of decadal climate information in rural African livelihood systems Lessons from the Mid-Zambezi Valley, Zimbabwe
  • Climate complexity in the Central Andes: A study case on empirically-based local variations in the Dry Puna
  • Making SDGs Work for Climate Change Hotspots
  • The Food-Energy-Water-Land-Biodiversity (FEWLB) Nexus and Local Economic Development in the Berg River Catchment
  • A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change
  • Temperature and precipitation extremes under current, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming above pre-industrial levels over Botswana, and implications for climate change vulnerability
  • Changing access to ice, land and water in Arctic communities
  • Interrogating ‘effectiveness’ in climate change adaptation: 11 guiding principles for adaptation research and practice
  • The Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI): Part 3 – Coding protocol
  • Benefits of water-related ecological infrastructure investments to support sustainable land-use: a review of evidence from critically water-stressed catchments in South Africa
  • Managing city-scale slow-onset disasters: Learning from Cape Town's 2015–2018 drought disaster planning
  • Can Sentinel-2 be used to detect invasive alien trees and shrubs in Savanna and Grassland Biomes?
  • Nature-Based Solutions in Mountain Catchments Reduce Impact of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Hydrological Drought Severity
  • A SOM‐based analysis of the drivers of the 2015–2017 Western Cape drought in South Africa
  • Impacts of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming on regional rainfall and temperature change across India
  • The hydrological benefits of restoration: A modelling study of alien tree clearing in four mountain catchments in South Africa
  • Tracking sustainable development with a national barometer for South Africa using a downscaled "safe and just space" framework
  • A review of observed and projected changes in climate for the islands in the Caribbean
  • Managing hydroclimatic risks in federal rivers: a diagnostic assessment
  • Modelling individual and collective species responses to climate change within Small Island States
  • New views on "old" carbon in the Amazon River: Insight from the source of organic carbon eroded from the Peruvian Andes
  • Spatial coherence of meteorological droughts in the UK since 1914
  • Using Large Climate Ensembles to Plan for the Hydrological Impact of Climate Change in the Freshwater Environment
  • Cloud frequency climatology at the Andes/Amazon transition: 1. Seasonal and diurnal cycles
  • Cloud frequency climatology at the Andes/Amazon transition: 2. Trends and variability
  • Shifting dynamics of climate-functional groups in old-growth Amazonian forests
  • Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global temperature increase of four degrees and its implications (vol 369, pg 6, 2011)
  • Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global temperature increase of four degrees and its implications INTRODUCTION
  • Four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global temperature increase of four degrees and its implications PREFACE
  • Quantification of UV-B flux through time using UV-B-absorbing compounds contained in fossil Pinus sporopollenin
  • Water availability in +2 degrees C and +4 degrees C worlds
  • Climate and invasive species: the limits to climate information
  • Diffuse radiation and cloud fraction relationships in two contrasting Amazonian rainforest sites
  • The influence of interpolation and station network density on the distributions and trends of climate variables in gridded daily data
  • The UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles Improving the accessibility of Observed and Projected Climate Information for Studies of Climate Change in Developing Countries
  • From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts and adaptation: A case study of water resource management in the southwest of England
  • Spatial patterns and recent trends in cloud fraction and cloud-related diffuse radiation in Amazonia
  • Spatial variability in correlation decay distance and influence on angular-distance weighting interpolation of daily precipitation over Europe
  • Testing E-OBS European high-resolution gridded data set of daily precipitation and surface temperature
  • A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006
  • Comparing available rainfall gridded datasets for West Africa and the impact on rainfall-runoff modelling results, the case of Burkina-Faso
  • Comparison of six methods for the interpolation of daily, European climate data
  • Floristic and functional affiliations of woody plants with climate in western Amazonia
  • Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector
  • Ensemble forecasting of species distributions
  • Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions
  • Testing the impact of climate variability on European plant diversity: 320 000 years of water-energy dynamics and its long-term influence on plant taxonomic richness
  • Arctic climate change with a 2 degrees C global warming: Timing, climate patterns and vegetation change
  • Changes in daily temperature and precipitation extremes in central and south Asia
  • Evidence and implications of dangerous climate change in the Arctic
  • 21st Century Drought Scenarios for the UK
  • Water Scarcity on a Blue Planet
  • MM5 simulations of interannual change and the diurnal cycle of southern African regional climate
  • Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
  • Differentiating dilution and retention processes in mine effluent remediation within a natural wetland on the Zambian Copperbelt
  • Two approaches to quantifying uncertainty in global temperature changes
  • Modelling climate change impacts on species' distributions at the European scale: implications for conservation policy
  • Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over southern and west Africa
  • Mind the gap
  • Modelling the impact of climate change on water resources
  • The possible impacts of high levels of climate change in 2060 and implications for migration
  • Introduction
  • Preface
  • Arctic climate change with a 2°C global warming: Timing, climate patterns and vegetation change
  • Forecasting the effects of global warming on biodiversity
  • Emerging Approaches To Climate Risk Management
  • Mapping invasive alien trees in water towers: A combined approach using satellite data fusion, drone technology and expert engagement
  • Making cities water-wise and climate-resilient - Lessons and experience from the Cape Town drought
  • Climate change and water resources in the southwestern Cape, South Africa
  • Hydrologic sensitivity to climate change in the Langrivier catchment, Stellenbosch, South Africa and some implications for geomorphic processes.
  • Dependence of large-scale precipitation climatologies on temporal and spatial sampling
  • Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years
  • Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part I: Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology
  • Representing uncertainty in climate change scenarios: a monte-carlo approach
  • Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part II: Development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate
  • Climate data for political areas
  • Climate change scenarios for global impacts studies
  • Precipitation measurements and trends in the twentieth century
  • African climate change: 1900-2100
  • A new world climatic mapping program to assist species selection
  • A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas
  • Relationships between plant traits and climate in the Mediterranean region: A pollen data analysis
  • Tropical snowline changes at the last glacial maximum: A global assessment
  • On the reconstruction of seasonal oceanic precipitation in the presatellite era
  • Multi-agent modelling of climate outlooks and food security on a community garden scheme in Limpopo, South Africa
  • Global warming and African climate change: a re-assessment
  • The role of a dambo in the hydrology of a catchment and the river network downstream
  • Hydrologic sensitivity to climate change and some implications for erosion in the Langrivier catchment, Western Cape, South Africa
  • Sediment chemistry: A history of mine contaminant remediation and an assessment of processes and pollution potential
  • Groundwater pollution on the Zambian Copperbelt: Deciphering the source and the risk
  • Global warming and African climate change: A reassessment
  • Competition for Land, Water and Energy (Nexus) in Food Production
  • Climate change and COVID-19: reinforcing Indigenous food systems
  • The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions
  • Climate change challenges in African cities: four perspectives on progress and opportunities
  • Transition from subsistence grazing to nature-based recreation: A nuanced view of land abandonment in a mountain social-ecological system, southwestern Cape, South Africa
  • Vulnerability of crop yields to variations in growing season precipitation in Uganda
  • A framework for complex climate change risk assessment
  • The role of farmers and organizational networks in climate information communication: the case of Ghana
  • Collaboration Relations in Climate Information Production and Dissemination to Subsistence Farmers in Namibia
  • Temperature and rainfall extremes change under current and future global warming levels across Indian climate zones
  • Potential impacts of stratospheric aerosol injection on drought risk managements over major river basins in Africa
  • Progress and Challenges of Demand-Led Co-Produced Sub-Seasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Climate Forecasts in Nigeria
  • Climate change adaptation to extreme heat: A global systematic review of implemented action
  • A global assessment of policy tools to support climate adaptation
  • Global evidence of constraints and limits to human adaptation
  • A frame-work for complex climate change risk assessment
  • Summary for Policymakers
  • Technical Summary
  • Nature-based solutions in mountain catchments reduce impact of anthropogenic climate change on drought streamflow
  • Climate change adaptation in conflict-affected countries: A systematic assessment of evidence
  • Closing the Adaptation Gap in Mountains
  • The hydrological impacts of restoration: A modelling study of alien tree clearing in four mountain catchments in South Africa
  • Towards attribution-based climate insurance: Redefining who should pay for weather-related insurance
  • Collaboration Relations in Climate Information Production and Dissemination to Subsistence Farmers in Namibia
  • Decision making options for managing risk
  • Evaluating the Effectiveness and Efficiency of Climate Information Communication in the African Agricultural Sector: A Systematic Analysis of Climate Services
  • Climate change in South Africa: Risks and opportunities for climate-resilient development in the IPCC Sixth Assessment WGII Report
  • Interactions between climate and COVID-19
  • Tradeoffs and Synergies Across Global Climate Change Adaptations in the Food-Energy-Water Nexus
  • Attribution of the human influence on heavy rainfall associated with flooding events during the 2012, 2016, and 2018 March-April-May seasons in Kenya
  • Potential impact of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering on projected temperature and precipitation extremes in South Africa
  • Attributing the driving mechanisms of the 2015–2017 drought in the Western Cape (South Africa) using self-organising maps
  • Projected decrease in trail access in the Arctic
  • Operationalising climate-resilient development pathways in the Global South
  • Drought governance: A cross-level governance analysis in Botswana
  • A Climate Science Toolkit for High Impact‐Low Likelihood Climate Risks

Mark New's public data